Toronto Real Estate Market Sales are up 45.6%! Average Prices Up 16.7% amid CoronaVirus (COVID-19) fears! CoronaVirus impacts on the Toronto’s Real Estate Market, March 2020!
This is a thorough review about what’s going on in Toronto’s Real Estate Market! Here you read about the CoronaVirus (COVID-19) effect on Toronto’s real estate Market and how the corona virus will impact the market and capital markets! This report, in addition, includes forecasts and Supporting Data to our Past Forecasts. And also how the Market Meltdown would impact real estate in Toronto.
Toronto Housing Market Overview Amid CoronaVirus fears:
March 2020 has started with a total of 7,256 resale transactions reported through TREB’s MLS in Toronto’s real estate market. That was a historic 45.6% increase in the number of sales compared to last year similar time in Toronto’s real estate. On top of that the average home price in Greater Toronto Area (GTA) has been $910,290, which is OVER 16.7% price increase Year over Year in Toronto’s housing market!
CoronaVirus (COVID-19) impact on Toronto’s real estate Market:
Meanwhile CoronaVirus effect in the capital markets was heavy in February. Toronto Exchange Composite Index hit the highest 17,944 on February 20th, then dropped to a low 12,700 on March 12th, which is a HUGE 28% melt down in almost two weeks!!
On the other hand, the Toronto real estate market, was the strongest since 2017, amid all the COVID-19 pandemic panic. I, as a Toronto Real Estate Agent and investment analyst, have seen more investors entering the real estate market when the forecast of the stock market seems volatile to them. If you look at the REITS (Real Estate Investment Trusts) stocks, you’d see among the huge meltdown in all other sectors, the REITs are performing relatively better than other stocks ( less plunge we see in those stocks) . Especially residential REITs. The symbols that I recommend you to follow are : REI.UN ( RioCan REIT ) and CHP.UN ( Choice Properties REIT ) .
Real estate in GTA has been a safe long term investment for many. Speculators also have enjoyed the waves here and there, but one important thing to remember is that the buyers who drive the market are not all speculators. They are First buyers, Up sizers, or downsizers, who actually need a roof for living. Many of the buyers are actually end users, second comes the cash flow investors. Speculators are not a big part of the market here.
Is there a FOMO in real estate market?
As someone who works with buyers and sellers in Toronto’s real estate market, I’d say that the FOMO has returned to the market, and much more buyers are competing on the properties more than a couple months ago. Numbers also support that, number of sales increased by 45.6% and the number of active listings dropped by 33.6%, which puts even more pressure on the standing inventory. That being said, amid CoronaVirus fear, I forecast even higher price increases in Toronto’s housing market for the next month! That’s in the opposite direction that the stock market moves currently!
What will happen to the markets if the CoronaVirus (COVID-19) gets under control:
If the CoronaVirus gets under control in Canada, i.e, they find a cure for it, or somehow control it, the confidence will get back to the stock market. If we look at the lessons learned from SARS, we’d realize that the CoronaVirus will be controlled at some point, that’s when the markets, especially stock markets, would start rising again. In that case the money that flows to the stock sector would be a relief to the Real Estate Market. But again the FOMO might cause a minor bubble for the stocks as well. Which will eventually be corrected sooner or later after that.
But until that timeArticle Search, I think the real estate market in Toronto would be subject to higher price appreciation.